Some
analysts said the bellicose tone of Putin's state of the nation speech
appeared mainly meant to bolster a tough image in advance of this
month's presidential election, in which his victory is a foregone
conclusion. Others questioned whether the new Russian weapon, if it
exists, would represent a genuine threat to American security.
Putin's
rhetoric, replete with warnings that the Kremlin would respond
accordingly to any nuclear attack on Russia or its allies, marked some
of the most aggressive language he has deployed in the 13 months that
President Trump has been in office.
"No one was listening," the Russian leader declared. "Now you will listen."
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The
White House, in turn, called Putin's comments a vindication of Trump's
pledge to modernize the U.S. nuclear arsenal and beef up defensive
capabilities.
"President
Putin has confirmed what the United States government has known all
along, which Russia has denied — Russia has been developing
destabilizing weapon systems for over a decade, in direct violations of
its treaty obligations," said White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee
Sanders.
Trump,
she said, "understands the threats facing America and our allies in
this century, and is determined to protect our homeland and preserve
peace through strength."
Putin's
annual address to the Federal Assembly, which includes both houses of
Russia's parliament, was marked by not only rhetorical flourishes, but
also eye-catching visuals. As he stood at the podium, animated videos
and graphics were projected onto the large screen behind him, aiming to
illustrate the might of the new weapons, which he said included the
nuclear-powered, nuclear-armed cruise missile, an underwater drone and a
hypersonic missile.
The
new weapons would render NATO's U.S.-led missile defense system
"useless," Putin intoned as a video behind him showed a graphic of a
missile weaving around purported missile defense systems on a spinning
model of the Earth.
In
Washington, State Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert called the
simulated attack "cheesy," adding, "We don't regard that as the behavior
of a responsible international player."
The
Putin presentation marked "a mix of old and new news," said Malcolm
Chalmers, the deputy director-general of the Royal United Services
Institute, a British defense think tank.
"This
is an election speech he was making," said Chalmers, noting that the
United States and Russia have for decades had the ability to overwhelm
each other's defenses with a massive nuclear strike aimed at multiple
cities — but with the deterrent factor that such a strike would be met
in kind while missiles were still in the air.
Nonetheless,
he and others said the new cruise missile, as described by Putin,
reflects Russian fears about U.S. defensive capabilities. The Trump
administration last month released a Nuclear Posture Review that says
the U.S. "now faces a more diverse and advanced nuclear-threat
environment than ever before," which it vowed to contain.
Some
analysts said the Putin speech reflected an increasingly muscular
posture by Moscow that is already playing out on the ground.
Thomas
Karako, the director of the Missile Defense Project at the
Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies, said
Putin's speech demonstrates a desire to "come up with new and innovative
ways to deliver nuclear weapons," but also fit a larger pattern of
menacing neighbors and North Atlantic Treaty Organization allies.
"This is an example of Russia being provocative," Karako said. "We have to take that seriously."
In
his speech, Putin accused other nations of fueling the arms race by
trying to outdo Russia's weapons and imposing sanctions meant to hinder
Russia's weapons development.
"All [that] you wanted to impede with your policies already happened," he said. "You have failed to contain Russia."
The
new cruise missiles, which Putin said were tested in the fall, have
unlimited range and the ability to operate at high speeds, allowing them
to avoid any missile defense system. The Russian leader also devoted
nearly 40 minutes to touting development of underwater drones,
hypersonic warheads and "menacing" intercontinental ballistic missiles.
Putin
blamed the U.S. for abandoning the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty,
from which President George W. Bush withdrew the United States in 2002,
and subsequently refusing to cooperate.
"At some point, it seemed to me that a compromise [on missile defense with the U.S.] could be found. But no," Putin said.
Because
of this, he said, Russia was forced to create new weapons to respond to
U.S. actions that deployed missile defenses on the territory of other
countries. Putin was probably referring to NATO's defense systems in
former Warsaw Pact countries that Russia has said threaten regional
stability.
Some observers saw an increasingly dangerous dynamic.
"For
the foreseeable future, it looks that the U.S.-Russia agenda will be
limited to just one item: war prevention. Good luck to us all," Dmitri
Trenin, an analyst with the Carnegie Moscow Center, tweeted after
Putin's address.
Only
three weeks before the March 18 presidential election, Putin's annual
address was meant to outline his vision for the country for the first
time since announcing his bid for reelection in December. With an 80%
approval rating, Putin — who has been either prime minister or president
since 1999 — is expected to easily win a fourth term and remain in
power until 2024.
Until
Thursday's speech, Russian voters had heard very little about the
president's goals for the next six years. With the outcome of the
election all but guaranteed, the buildup to the vote has been met with
very little excitement from the Russian public.
Seven other candidates are competing for Putin's post, although none are considered to be in real opposition to the Kremlin.
Putin
predictably focused the first hour of the speech on domestic issues,
such as poverty reduction and improving the country's health and
education infrastructures.The Kremlin leader said Russia's economic
growth, which was 1.6% in 2017, should exceed the expected global level
of growth of 3.1% in 2018 — a forecast some analysts deemed overly rosy.
"He
seems to be talking about something wildly optimistic," said William
Courtney, a Rand Corp. analyst and a former ambassador to Georgia and
Kazakhstan, both ex-Soviet republics. Nationalist rhetoric on weaponry,
he said, may have been intended to paper over sagging economic
prospects.
The
annual national address has in the past been held at the gilded Kremlin
Palace. Thursday's speech was relocated to the Moscow Manege, a 19th
century exhibition hall just outside the Kremlin's red-brick walls.
The
audience included both houses of parliament, regional governors and
members of the Cabinet and administration. Prime Minister Dmitry
Medvedev sat in the front row close to the head of the Russian Orthodox
Church, Patriarch Kirill, whose presence in Russian politics had played a
key role in Putin's nationalistic response to what the Kremlin sees as
Western attempts to undermine Russia's emergence.
In
a seemingly lighthearted echo of Trump's populist showmanship, Putin
announced a name-the-weapon contest for Russia's new cruise missile and
unmanned underwater drone. Participants can log onto Russia's Defense
Ministry website to enter their ideas, he said.
"We are waiting for your responses," Putin said to applause.
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